Leading Reframed

Leading Insights for a Changing World

What Cognitive Psychology Can Teach Leaders About Assumptions

Read the Scene Before You Solve the Crime What detective work can teach us about understanding before deciding By Dr. Paul Dannar A detective arrives at a crime scene after the story has already begun. Something happened there. People acted, decisions were made, and events unfolded in a particular order. Some things may have been moved while others were left untouched. Someone may be telling the truth, someone may be lying, and someone else may be completely sincere and still be wrong about what they saw. The detective wasn't there, yet the detective is expected to determine what happened. That requires more than finding evidence. It requires developing an understanding of the scene. The temptation, of course, is to begin solving the crime immediately. A broken window suggests an entry point.

Read the Scene Before You Solve the Crime What detective work can teach us about understanding before deciding By Dr. Paul Dannar A detective arrives at a crime scene after the story has already begun. Something happened there. People acted, decisions were made, and events unfolded in a particular order. Some things may have been…

A missing object suggests a motive. A witness identifies someone who seemed
suspicious. One fact connects with another, and almost immediately a possible explanation begins
to form. That isn’t necessarily a problem. Detectives need theories because without interpretation,
evidence remains a collection of disconnected facts. The danger comes when the detective begins
seeing the scene through the theory rather than allowing the scene to shape the theory.
A broken window may indicate forced entry, or it may have been broken from the inside. A missing
object may have been stolen, or someone may have moved it before the detective arrived. A
witness may confidently describe what happened while unknowingly filling gaps in memory. The
first explanation may eventually prove correct, but the detective doesn’t know that yet.
Understanding requires remaining curious long enough to discover what the scene is actually
saying.


The Scene Has a History

A crime scene doesn’t begin when the detective crosses the tape. The detective has entered
something already in progress, and understanding what is visible now requires understanding what
happened before now. Who was here? What happened first? What happened next? What
changed? What doesn’t belong? What should be here but isn’t? The scene offers evidence of what
occurred, but it rarely provides its own explanation.
That is why detectives listen to different accounts. No single person necessarily possesses the
entire story. One witness saw what happened outside. Another heard an argument. Someone else
understands the relationships among the people involved. Physical evidence may support one
account while contradicting another. As these different pieces are examined together, individual
observations gradually begin forming a larger picture. Even then, the detective has to remain
willing to redraw that picture when new evidence demands it.
This is where detective work begins to provide an interesting lens for leadership. Leaders also
enter scenes already in progress. A leader walking into a struggling organization isn’t encountering
something that suddenly became troubled that morning. A team experiencing conflict has a history.
So does an employee who appears disengaged, a department that doesn’t trust another
department, or an organization that seems resistant to change. What the leader sees today may be
the visible result of months or years of decisions, relationships, successes, disappointments,
incentives, habits, and experiences. The current situation is evidence of that history, but it is not
necessarily an explanation of it.

Suppose a leader enters a team where people rarely challenge senior leadership. It would be easy
to look at the situation and conclude that employees lack initiative or simply aren’t willing to speak
up. Perhaps that is true. But perhaps people once did speak up and learned that disagreement
accomplished nothing. Perhaps a previous leader reacted badly to criticism. Perhaps the real
conversations happen before the formal meeting. Perhaps employees possess information senior
leadership has never asked them to share. There are numerous possible explanations, and the
leader’s first responsibility isn’t to choose the most convenient one. It is to understand more of the
scene.
“I don’t know yet” can be an important starting point for understanding.


Emotion Enters the Investigation
There is another part of detective work that is easy to overlook: the detective isn’t emotionless. A
crime can create anger, a victim can evoke sympathy, and a grieving family can create an intense
desire for answers. A difficult witness may create frustration, while a promising piece of evidence
can generate excitement. As an investigation progresses, a detective may also become
increasingly confident that a particular person is responsible. Pretending those emotions aren’t
present doesn’t make the detective more objective; it may simply make their influence harder to
recognize.
Emotion itself isn’t necessarily the problem. Used well, it can sharpen attention and deepen
engagement with the investigation. A feeling that something isn’t right may prompt another
examination of the evidence. Frustration may signal that pieces of the story aren’t fitting together
as expected. Empathy may encourage the detective to listen more carefully to someone who has
experienced trauma. The desire to provide answers can sustain the patience and determination
necessary for a difficult investigation. Emotion can contribute to understanding when the detective
recognizes it and uses it deliberately.
The same emotion, however, can narrow the investigation. The desire to solve the crime can
quietly become the desire to prove a particular solution. Sympathy can influence how testimony is
interpreted. Anger can make one explanation feel more satisfying than another. Confidence can
turn a promising theory into a conclusion before the evidence warrants it. The discipline is not to
suppress confidence, but to keep it from outrunning the evidence. The discipline isn’t to eliminate
emotion from the investigation. It is to understand its presence without allowing it to determine the
evidence’s meaning.
Leaders face much the same challenge because leadership situations create emotion precisely
because leaders care about outcomes. Declining performance creates frustration. Slow adoption of
an initiative can create impatience. A disappointing decision by a trusted employee can feel
personal. A strategy a leader strongly believes in can create excitement and optimism. Those
feelings aren’t inherently problematic, nor should leaders pretend they don’t exist. They are part of
how the leader is experiencing the situation and may even reveal something worth examining more
closely.
The difficulty begins when emotion starts determining what the leader believes the situation
means. A leader frustrated by slow adoption may begin interpreting every question as resistance.
A leader enthusiastic about a new strategy may hear legitimate concerns as negativity. A leader
disappointed in an employee may begin noticing every subsequent mistake while overlooking

information that doesn’t fit the emerging judgment. Emotion has moved from being part of the
leader’s experience to becoming part of the leader’s evidence.
Like the detective, the leader has to return to the scene. What do I actually know? What am I
feeling about what I know? How might that feeling be influencing what I think is happening? What
information doesn’t fit my current explanation? What else do I need to understand before I decide?
These aren’t questions designed to suppress emotion. They are questions that help prevent
emotion from becoming an unnoticed filter through which every other piece of information is
interpreted.
The emotion may be real. The interpretation may be wrong.


Don’t Fall in Love With Your First Theory
Eventually, detectives have to develop theories. So do leaders. The challenge is remembering that
a theory is an explanation of the evidence, not the evidence itself. As additional information
becomes available, a good theory becomes stronger, weaker, or changes altogether. The
willingness to change an explanation isn’t evidence of poor judgment. In many cases, it is evidence
that understanding is improving.
Consider the statement, “They’re resisting change.” It sounds like an observation, but it isn’t.
Perhaps the observable fact is that only 40 percent of employees are consistently using the new
process. Resistance is one possible explanation, but lack of training is another. Conflicting
priorities might explain it, as might poor technology, unclear expectations, workload, distrust,
previous failed initiatives, or legitimate problems with the new process itself. The leader’s first
theory might ultimately prove correct, but understanding requires testing it rather than merely
collecting evidence that confirms it.
The detective’s discipline is useful here. What do I actually know? What am I assuming? What
evidence supports my explanation? What evidence doesn’t fit? What else could explain what I’m
seeing? Who might know something I don’t? What would cause me to change my mind? And,
importantly, what am I feeling about this situation, and how might that be shaping what I see?
These questions don’t prevent action. They improve the understanding from which action comes.


Read the Scene
Detective work offers leadership an important reminder: don’t rush past the scene in pursuit of the
solution. Observe what is there and understand something of its history. Listen to people who
experienced the situation differently. Look for what doesn’t fit. Separate what you know from what
you think it means. Pay attention to your emotional response without allowing that response to
write the story for you. Most importantly, remain willing to change your explanation when the
evidence demands it.
A good detective doesn’t arrive at a crime scene determined to prove the first theory correct. The
detective is trying to understand what happened. That understanding develops through
observation, evidence, context, competing explanations, conversation, intuition, emotion, and the
willingness to keep looking when the pieces don’t fit. Solving the crime matters, but the quality of
the solution depends greatly on the quality of the understanding that came before it.
Leadership deserves the same discipline. Before trying to change the situation, solve the problem,
correct the behavior, or influence the people involved, leaders would do well to understand the

scene they have entered. What appears obvious at first may be correct, but it may also be only one
interpretation of a much larger reality.
Sometimes the most important leadership realization isn’t “I know what’s happening.”
It is “I may need to look again.”

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What Cognitive Psychology Can Teach Leaders About Assumptions

Read the Scene Before You Solve the Crime What detective work can teach us about understanding before deciding
By Dr. Paul Dannar
A detective arrives at a crime scene after the story has already begun. Something happened there.
People acted, decisions were made, and events unfolded in a particular order. Some things may
have been moved while others were left untouched. Someone may be telling the truth, someone
may be lying, and someone else may be completely sincere and still be wrong about what they
saw. The detective wasn’t there, yet the detective is expected to determine what happened. That
requires more than finding evidence. It requires developing an understanding of the scene.
The temptation, of course, is to begin solving the crime immediately. A broken window suggests an
entry point.

Read More

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